Convective Forecast
 

CONVECTIVE FORECAST
VALID Mon 02 Jan 06:00 - Tue 03 Jan 06:00 2006 (UTC)
ISSUED: 01 Jan 23:03 (UTC)
FORECASTER: GROENEMEIJER

Thunderstorms are forecast across the central Mediterranean and the eastern Aegean Sea.

SYNOPSIS

Monday at 06 UTC... a low pressure centre across northern Italy moves slowly southward. Near its centre and on its southern flanks moist-adiabatic to slightly unstable lapse rates will likely allow for the formation of widespread -locally thundery- convective storms. 15-20 m/s winds forecast at 850 hPa may allow some stronger gusts to form with convective systems, especially in the areas labelled 'SEE TEXT'.

DISCUSSION